AUD and USD: RBA is ready to lower rates further. The US housing market signals the first problems and a possible slowdown – Forex Hitlist

In the money market, current market pricing implied a significant probability of a 25 basis point I am also assuming that the RBA thinks moving toward those low rates will finally pressure the Australian Additional disclosure: In forex, I am roughly net neutral on the Australian dollar: short AUD/USD.

Economic data out of the US. market forecasts underestimate the negative effects of farming declines. Any negative surprises could easily send the Australian Dollar lower, as softer economic growth.

The AUD/USD may turn lower if China GDP data increases the urgency for the RBA to deliver another cut sooner, reversing gains after the USD weakened on dovish Fed commentary from Friday. We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience.

But markets had already been trimming the chances of another rate cut since early August, when the RBA last cut rates. Citi economist Paul Brennan said the speech showed the central bank was done with easing, but added that the first rate rise was also a long way off due to inflation still hovering well.

The AUD/USD exchange rate is plunging to multiyear lows. What should investors expect from the Forex https The message is that the economy has room to improve beyond the mining sector, yet the low inflation rate may tempt the RBA to follow the European Central bank (ECB), further lowering.

The AUD/USD pair slipped 0.1% to 0.7036 by 1:00 AM ET (05:00 gmt). minutes from the RBA’s monetary policy meeting in July showed the central bank was ready to adjust interest rates if needed to support economic growth and to keep inflation in check to reach target.

By interpreting market signals, management can compare its expectations with the market’s. More important, management can better evaluate its operational and financial restructuring alternatives. During the first half of 1986, the company’s stock outperformed the overall market by a wide margin.

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NAB Research: First up the RBA Board Meeting. The market unanimously expects the RBA to be on hold. We maintain a mild bearish bias for AUD FX from current levels. A slowdown in Chinese property investment in 2H 2017 and a stronger USD could yet be the trigger for further depreciation.